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Over the years, the majority of the blackjack authorities have bought into this line of reasoning and have dismissed any and all inquiries into whether or not progressive betting actually works in practice. A very small minority of players have mastered the art or science? Other studies that I will publish indicate that the bankroll required for the progressive bettor is less than for the card counter, and the opportunity to quit play while winning is also much better for the progressive bettor than it is for the card counter. Melissa A. The player who bets the same amount each time will always win less or lose more than the progressive bettor, given the same cards in the same order of play. Newsletter Signup. Consequently, the chances of winning two consecutive hands or losing two consecutive hands are about the same. Or winning three consecutive hands and then losing three consecutive hands are about the same and so on. Card counters are players who raise or lower their bet based on the number of high or low cards remaining in the deck s. Discounting the idiots, who probably account for about 35 percent of the players, the other types make a serious effort to understand the game and to win. It's that simple!{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Lauderdale, FL Warning: You must ensure you meet all age and other regulatory requirements before entering a Casino or placing a wager. Ironically, Bayes' Theorem is the principle reason why I believe that progressive betting works. To contact Frank, please e-mail him at fscobe optonline. YOU are responsible for determining if it is legal for YOU to play any particular games or place any particular wager. I disagree, and offer the following explanation as to why progressive betting can be superior to flat betting, and can often be more profitable than card counting. And what about card counters? I have no doubt that card counting works, but I also have no doubt that my system of progressive betting works as well! There are hundreds of jurisdictions in the world with Internet access and hundreds of different games and gambling opportunities available on the Internet. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}There are four different types of blackjack players: idiots, flat bettors who play basic strategy, progressive bettors who play basic strategy, and card counters. Idiots are those who have no knowledge or appreciation of the intricacies of the game, bet on the basis of inspiration or perspiration, and play their hands on a whim and a prayer. Flat bettors are those who bet the same amount each time but play the correct basic strategy for their hands. The card counting contingent of experts concluded that there was no mathematical justification for increasing the bet after either winning or losing the previous hand. The card counter is just as likely to lose the next bet in spite of the major increase in the amount wagered in favorable counts as the flat bettor or the progressive bettor. This article is provided by the Frank Scoblete Network. It goes without saying that card counters play correct basic strategy and even vary their hitting and standing decisions based on the count. Back in to , there was a running debate between blackjack experts on both sides of the progressive betting equation. He can be reached at PO Box , Ft. Kaplan is the network's managing editor. However, for the past 30 years, the overwhelming majority of the literature about the game has focused on card counting. Progressive bettors play basic strategy and raise and lower their bets based on the results of the previous hand. What about flat bettors? Consequently, the long-term probability is that any blackjack player, regardless of his betting method or the rationale behind it, is likely to win--or lose--about the same number of consecutive hands. Gaming Gurus. Most basic strategy players are either flat bettors or progressive bettors. Follow my logic: The chances of winning one hand and then losing or winning the next hand are about the same. Little has been said about flat betting or progressive betting, except to state that both betting styles result in the same long-term outcome--both types of bettors will win or lose the same amount in the long run if the aggregate of their action is exactly the same. Consequently, if you are betting more money after a winning hand and less money after a losing hand, your average amount wagered during consecutive winning hands will be greater than your average amount wagered during consecutive losing hands and your profits from play will be greater than your losses. But losing runs will result in the same loss for both the progressive and the flat bettors. The opportunity to have larger bets during consecutive winning hand runs doesn't exist for the flat bettor. Gaming News. If you would like to use this article on your website, please contact Casino City Press , the exclusive web syndication outlet for the Frank Scoblete Network. Weekly Newsletter. They based their argument on Bayes' Theorem which, when applied to the game of blackjack, states that "the chance of a winning hand being followed by another winning hand is no more likely than a losing hand being followed by another losing hand.